South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59bd56a643d2a24a98877a85968bc8176a13f4236deb1ae31eca817acfaf6f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 69c | 428$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 385$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 27c | 164.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 163.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 67c | 113$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 71c | 85.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 33c | 76.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 49c | 62.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 50.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 40c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 44c | 38.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 30c | 38.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 37.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-19?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.