South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294617acef1540decaf17a11bbc2d5ad8ef0e3d4656366beab918308bfc925f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 34c | 3,089$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.64 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 25c | 2,982$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 29c | 2,536$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 78c | 1,872$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,676$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 63c | 1,632$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.75 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 1,097$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 77c | 1,046$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 68c | 1,013$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.84 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 37c | 873.75$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 51c | 791.57$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.86 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 20c | 789.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 64c | 785.65$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.63 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Yes | 67c | 772.66$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 80c | 745$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 48c | 608.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 35c | 586.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 430.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 75c | 426.74$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 49c | 394.28$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 355.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 70c | 295$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 253.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 47c | 248$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 225.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 60c | 187.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 38c | 181.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 178.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 169.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 161.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 45c | 130.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 127.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed No | 21c | 127.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 63c | 124.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed No | 58c | 102.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 63c | 95.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 66c | 89.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 15c | 81.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 52c | 77.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 38c | 69.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 55c | 65.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 49c | 64.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 27c | 46.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 45.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 61c | 39.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked No | 40c | 29.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked No | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…c391backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-19?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.