Champions League · resolved market
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3260ac380dc0a09767a7f2c35dacbf624f39beecb3ad2172c6e057bd32b5a111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 46c | 1,820$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,714$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.27 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 307.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 14c | 159$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 149.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 47c | 147.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 146.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 129.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 129.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 46c | 124.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Under | 55c | 90.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 43c | 71.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 65.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Under | 53c | 65.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 55.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 54.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…6c9bbacked Under | 56c | 53.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Under | 55c | 50.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 54c | 48.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 55c | 47.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Under | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 79c | 36.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 54c | 32.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 44c | 31.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 54c | 29.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 79c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5this page
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.