Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd473ce4e15c884395c82e4981746b33c2092a0df65dab458d8e2e871849ddf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Universitatea Craiova CSof Universitatea Craiova CS, FK ML Viciebsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FK ML Viciebsk | 28c | 1,272$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 383.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 308.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK ML Viciebsk | 69c | 249.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 61c | 162.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 33c | 152.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 76c | 148.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK ML Viciebsk | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 29c | 71.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 69.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 31c | 57.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FK ML Viciebsk | 67c | 54.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FK ML Viciebsk | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 31c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 29c | 34.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed FK ML Viciebsk | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 13.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)this page
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.