Champions League · resolved market
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd16fbe608e4ad81d7167b6c5093035a7e2c4ef553cbca05f7fe842093c7c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 13c | 1,139$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 468.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 50c | 330.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 50c | 235.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 49c | 205.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 54c | 183.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 51c | 149.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 131.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 88.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 80.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 51c | 76.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 49c | 62.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 60.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 54.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 54c | 43.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 59c | 34.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 32.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 45c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…4450backed No | 62c | 23.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 59c | 21.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.