Champions League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b1490e41ba47be1f77d37a8a56881782f69db849369602702480fc20d9b026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 46c | 7,593$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 4,891$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.33 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 2,410$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.56 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 2,115$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.64 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 2,030$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.8 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 1,059$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.25 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 812.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.57 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 656.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 639$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 612.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 61c | 552$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 524.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Under | 40c | 502.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 39c | 493.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 489.84$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 333.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 300.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Over | 60c | 296.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 236.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 198.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 193.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 40c | 118.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 105.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 38c | 99.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 61c | 96.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 78c | 81.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 74.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 60c | 61.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 62c | 46.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 61c | 38.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…3f8dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Over | 63c | 26.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 61c | 25.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…042dbacked Over | 61c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 62c | 20.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 54c | 19.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.