TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c5,795$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.752,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over45c5,613$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.552437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c4,803$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6451,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over23c4,468$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.8416440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over27c2,731$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.6849840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under47c1,679$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over80c1,360$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.214341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under75c1,127$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.1896837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under5c1,062$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over31c1,057$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under6c856.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.372437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Over30c714.53$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.17944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Over20c700$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c607.36$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5874935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under6c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65831%18 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over19c574.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4452246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under80c489.29$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.42152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over34c449.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.984129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under3c434.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick2cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under3c432.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9812442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c351.89$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1547246.8%221 W · 251 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over18c306.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5612338.2%47 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over19c300$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.941797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0efc…a581backed Under77c287.62$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under74c281.23$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7712551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under27c280.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under75c276.24$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8131556.5%178 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over38c275$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under75c272.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5217758.2%103 W · 74 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under11c264.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over73c260.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under72c243.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3210743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under16c242.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.821050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over20c206.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.24454.5%24 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under16c178.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.255637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under73c176.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12924752.2%129 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under75c171.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1415954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under74c162.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.066259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c149.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6743537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c146.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.024746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over53c144$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c138.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.711,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under74c135.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1614553.1%77 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over14c133.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.16238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over21c98.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over21c98.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under73c74.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.266734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over14c70.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0615643.6%68 W · 88 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over45c62.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.196563.1%41 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over30c59.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.815937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over24c58.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over20c56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.748060%48 W · 32 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c54.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2618643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under24c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4825245.2%114 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4036942.5%157 W · 212 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over27c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.495637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c49.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4915846.8%74 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under75c47.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.746357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under57c43.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6544933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under73c41.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.283852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9413545.9%62 W · 73 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…3139backed Over43c37.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under74c37.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.564052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under68c34.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7711449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0414065.7%92 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed Under72c30.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under72c29.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.125437%20 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under60c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under61c26.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.172445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.699745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.166844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under79c20.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.874060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under80c18.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.