TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
GNK Dinamo Zagrebof GNK Dinamo Zagreb, FK Kauno Žalgiris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,918 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed FK Kauno Žalgiris9c719.43$64 inLost-$63.8445042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed FK Kauno Žalgiris62c269.8$167 inLost-$167.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb39c260$101 inWon+$158.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Kauno Žalgiris57c224.7$129 inLost-$129.1499435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris61c184.39$112 inLost-$112.485757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb73c168$123 inWon+$45.362065%13 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb38c101.67$39 inWon+$6322452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb38c87$33 inWon+$53.9412736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FK Kauno Žalgiris59c86.63$51 inLost-$51.1161447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed FK Kauno Žalgiris61c84$51 inLost-$51.249747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris63c79.37$50 inLost-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris16c66.9$11 inLost-$10.7916144.7%72 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb39c64.02$25 inWon+$39.1287531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb41c58$24 inWon+$33.9788137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb41c51.89$21 inWon+$30.725729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb37c51.78$19 inWon+$32.6252046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb76c44$33 inWon+$10.5611952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed FK Kauno Žalgiris61c39.34$24 inLost-$24.114254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d6…8704backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb41c36.59$15 inWon+$21.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb38c32.24$12 inWon+$19.996259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…5e6fbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris62c32.24$20 inLost-$19.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FK Kauno Žalgiris63c25.65$16 inLost-$16.1629858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb77c24.62$19 inWon+$5.663151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb76c14.6$11 inWon+$3.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.