Champions League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0639ddefb2d72f61b50c1289d83b8af115aa71f97a351383d924701205ff50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,985$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.04 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 4,785$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.7 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 2,783$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.26 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,770$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.46 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 1,403$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.47 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…c900backed No | 63c | 727.31$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 644.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 66c | 533$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 480$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 20c | 407.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed No | 65c | 400.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 13c | 386.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 328.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 227.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 183.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 172.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 78c | 164.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 79c | 148.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 148.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 77c | 141.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 78c | 108.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 77c | 99.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 98.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 90.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 79c | 54.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 76c | 47.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 76c | 43.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 77c | 42.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 23.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 63c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 77c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.