TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under31c2,433$766 inLost-$766.192,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over72c2,146$1,540 inWon+$605.981,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c834.28$257 inLost-$256.6911645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under36c806.45$294 inLost-$293.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over75c298.72$226 inWon+$73.217417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under33c186.86$62 inLost-$61.5717446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c132.15$89 inWon+$43.2879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c120.75$38 inLost-$38.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Over76c92.11$70 inWon+$22.112646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.765738.6%22 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.762365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over62c72.79$45 inWon+$27.6897346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over63c67.32$42 inWon+$24.8833446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under33c67.14$22 inLost-$22.3265549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c62.63$48 inWon+$14.7537750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over69c50.72$35 inWon+$15.7212242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over66c39.01$26 inWon+$13.3165535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under39c28.21$11 inLost-$112050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over67c26.67$18 inWon+$8.836356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over69c24$17 inWon+$7.4427554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5073…c6b6backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon+$7.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon+$7.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc2…40e7backed Over64c18.97$12 inWon+$6.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.