Europa Conference League · resolved market
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee6520f3ec2e11e8498856374a26d870bada8785f4996138592208ebd243463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 45c | 9,079$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.17 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 4,262$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.58 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 2,472$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.99 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,933$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.24 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 908.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.01 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 858.59$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.12 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 69c | 703.78$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 28c | 687.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 675.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.36 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 618.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 68c | 594.18$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.73 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Over | 34c | 452.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.93 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 55c | 452.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 65c | 310$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 45c | 299.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 45c | 282.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 251.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 63c | 212.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 207.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 50c | 198.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 185.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 45c | 142.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 71c | 142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 135.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 30c | 121.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 116.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 59c | 92.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 84.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 71.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 33c | 49.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 46c | 39.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 29c | 38.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Under | 41c | 36.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 36.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 37c | 34.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 55c | 30.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 27.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 55c | 22.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 52c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…5303backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 3.5this page
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 1.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: Valletta FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: Valletta FC (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.