Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692ba4a3da2394383fda4a44adb3b084a8ae3beeb002b4f82b93029bf511bc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RKS Raków Częstochowaof RKS Raków Częstochowa, Valletta FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Valletta FC | 64c | 2,798$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.69 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 1,748$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.94 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 700.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valletta FC | 78c | 470$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Valletta FC | 71c | 466.53$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 29c | 466.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 26c | 260.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 70c | 230.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Valletta FC | 30c | 230.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valletta FC | 47c | 224$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 55c | 206.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valletta FC | 66c | 182.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 27c | 165.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 129$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 126.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 35c | 56.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Valletta FC | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…492abacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 37c | 51.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 31c | 43.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 55c | 40.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Valletta FC | 63c | 39.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)this page
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 1.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: Valletta FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Valletta FC (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.