Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e69120073e677c29a2f35cabb8e73d9e5e3d22e38c122abe800251b6d7a57a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 2,541$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.56 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 62c | 1,431$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.65 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…040ebacked Under | 42c | 1,153$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 970$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 33c | 908.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 67c | 734.33$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 659.69$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 645.58$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 40c | 595.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 61c | 375.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 308.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 251.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 69c | 247$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 191.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Over | 14c | 164.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 21c | 140.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 120.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Under | 52c | 115.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 42c | 103.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 82.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 32c | 82.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 66.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 62c | 58.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 22c | 58.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 75c | 49.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 45.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 45.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 44.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 35c | 44.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 37.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 35.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 32.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 72c | 23.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 59c | 16.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 80c | 14.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.