Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13afe7db322ffd7a42527437f8cd46c1c1f911ce87dd46374d48c8d270da1451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Páfos FCof FC Red Bull Salzburg, Páfos FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 44c | 18,335$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Páfos FC | 56c | 4,446$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.88 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 40c | 3,782$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Páfos FC | 62c | 3,710$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Páfos FC | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Páfos FC | 60c | 2,076$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Páfos FC | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Páfos FC | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 33c | 1,706$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.95 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Páfos FC | 57c | 1,692$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.87 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Páfos FC | 56c | 1,562$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.28 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 31c | 980.74$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Páfos FC | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 520.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Páfos FC | 55c | 494$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 424.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 39c | 411.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Páfos FC | 59c | 411.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Páfos FC | 56c | 332.19$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 43c | 325.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 291.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 57c | 232.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Páfos FC | 59c | 200.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Páfos FC | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Páfos FC | 59c | 176.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 173.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Páfos FC | 56c | 148.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Páfos FC | 59c | 134$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 78c | 120.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 42c | 109.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Páfos FC | 60c | 97.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Páfos FC | 63c | 86.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Páfos FC | 57c | 77.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Páfos FC | 57c | 75.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Páfos FC | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 35c | 48.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Páfos FC | 60c | 45.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Páfos FC | 64c | 45.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Páfos FC | 59c | 38.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Páfos FC | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 38c | 37.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 30c | 33.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Páfos FC | 69c | 32.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Páfos FC | 57c | 31.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…0ee8backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Páfos FC | 59c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Páfos FC | 65c | 26.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…31a1backed Páfos FC | 62c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…672dbacked Páfos FC | 62c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…eb8ebacked Páfos FC | 62c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Páfos FC | 63c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)this page
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.