Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86569b07e9bca83c2fbdf225971e8928958ba111c7b58ce959f91cc58305f226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 3c | 10,788$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 1c | 7,683$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 4,898$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.98 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…42a7backed Over | 1c | 2,423$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 71c | 2,386$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.13 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 2,373$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.06 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 2,304$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.17 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Over | 1c | 2,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 8c | 2,243$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 70c | 1,701$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.82 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 4c | 1,380$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,249$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 29c | 1,050$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 27c | 1,026$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 1c | 1,026$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 35c | 693.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.54 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 29c | 592.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 5c | 558.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 50c | 500.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.0wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Over | 3c | 426.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 22c | 328.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 13c | 284.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 52c | 242.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 229.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 215.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 15c | 172$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 142.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 18c | 106.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 50c | 91.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 88.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 49c | 84.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 25c | 55.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 40c | 50.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 42.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 41.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 72c | 27.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 26.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 26.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 51c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.