Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bbe478942f5bff8cb073c45c0a3c1de238aef53015d37d75204a5b718c69fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 236$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 51c | 214.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 209.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked No | 48c | 200.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 52c | 192.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 190.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 187.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 51c | 124.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed No | 51c | 96.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 93.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 69.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 52c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 47.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 43.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 42c | 33.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 31.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…60bcbacked Yes | 51c | 28.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 59c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…6bd7backed No | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 60c | 17.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: FC Lugano O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 4.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Team to AdvanceFC Lugano won
- Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)FC Lugano won
- Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)FC Lugano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.