Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eec3c5f6e8cdb3a5e6b3909ff6eb6343333602d02d5b0dbe97a4f3d21e01952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,718$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.18 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 53c | 3,007$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 49c | 1,762$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.6 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,496$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.88 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,376$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 49c | 1,242$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.86 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,146$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 917.07$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.51 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…debabacked Under | 55c | 859.98$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 27c | 793.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 60c | 775$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 758.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.59 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Over | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 624.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 563.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 49c | 438.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 5c | 411.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 41c | 335$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 315.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 262.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 199.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 56c | 189.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 154.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 50c | 151.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 62c | 137.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 45c | 109.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 54c | 109.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 108.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 104.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 102.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 96.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 87.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 85.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 56c | 57.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 54.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 61c | 52.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 47c | 51.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Over | 53c | 50.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 56c | 48.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 37c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 40.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 36.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 48c | 33.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Under | 53c | 30.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 29.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 40c | 28.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Under | 58c | 27.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 46c | 25.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…47ffbacked Over | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5this page
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: FC Lugano O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: KF Dukagjini Klinë O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 4.5Over won
- KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Team to AdvanceFC Lugano won
- Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)FC Lugano won
- Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)FC Lugano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.