CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55063b297b5ba23f13b5e6dac1788bcd4b60a7bace9789c2b4d12d565dbebcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.55 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 5,116$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 55c | 2,230$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.32 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 46c | 1,998$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.24 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 713.9$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.53 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 46c | 561$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 48c | 408.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 298.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 56c | 266.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 54c | 227$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…0950backed Over | 47c | 225.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 48c | 179.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 78c | 146.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 70c | 103$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 43c | 98.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Over | 49c | 61.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 46c | 56.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 47c | 51.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 61c | 50.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 79c | 46.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 46c | 32.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…59f4backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…e1debacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80d…fa57backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8989backed Under | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.