TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed PARIVISION63c30,392$19,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,296.9519055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f0…6be8backed MOUZ68c11,515$7,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MOUZ38c11,089$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,875.1535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ38c8,771$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,438.0547047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed MOUZ51c7,881$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.957041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PARIVISION49c6,120$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.721,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ38c2,368$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.4225647.7%122 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION31c2,062$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked PARIVISION63c1,797$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.975534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed MOUZ38c1,673$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.852748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked MOUZ38c1,579$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.955261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed MOUZ71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.8819061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION47c1,176$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.182,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ59c1,055$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.81,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed MOUZ37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9911844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed PARIVISION63c979.95$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.375253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked MOUZ38c921.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.053951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION30c900$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked MOUZ38c835.5$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.014856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION62c646.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.341,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed MOUZ38c612$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked PARIVISION63c519.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.592528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION3c485.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.187,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked PARIVISION63c479.95$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3742050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked PARIVISION63c419.97$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.582737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed PARIVISION18c379.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3958743.4%255 W · 332 L-2.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed MOUZ38c365.79$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7921550.2%108 W · 107 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed MOUZ39c350.84$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.016743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed PARIVISION65c349.83$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.552934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked MOUZ36c335$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.427753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION44c322$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.822,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed PARIVISION64c313.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed PARIVISION64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19238954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed MOUZ38c255.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.793959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed MOUZ62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2237057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked MOUZ35c232.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3524646.7%115 W · 131 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed PARIVISION59c210$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.79033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed MOUZ38c206.82$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8220253%107 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed MOUZ39c191.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.716167.2%41 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked PARIVISION63c159.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed MOUZ37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.146942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed MOUZ37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed MOUZ38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked MOUZ38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5810847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed MOUZ38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed MOUZ58c121.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked PARIVISION31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked MOUZ37c119.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed MOUZ50c116.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.232254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed PARIVISION54c108.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4912751.2%65 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed MOUZ37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.115341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed MOUZ37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked MOUZ38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2610355.3%57 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PARIVISION55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6472153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked PARIVISION63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked MOUZ36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6422455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked MOUZ37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.083644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed MOUZ37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0815047.3%71 W · 79 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked MOUZ37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0810044%44 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ36c81.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7befbacked PARIVISION64c79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5618950.8%96 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked MOUZ37c78.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.384447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed MOUZ66c59.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1113857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked MOUZ37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed MOUZ37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed MOUZ37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed MOUZ71c50.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8168059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed PARIVISION63c50.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.574839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked MOUZ56c47.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.846165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ51c44.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9967645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed MOUZ47c42.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.923873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed PARIVISION64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed MOUZ36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.622060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked MOUZ38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.474057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked MOUZ37c35.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed MOUZ35c33.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0531744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa95…5b7cbacked MOUZ40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION60c32.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked PARIVISION64c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4826862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7814…9c0bbacked PARIVISION64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201580%12 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ62c30.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.892,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed PARIVISION64c30.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5514344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed PARIVISION63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.967350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…d80dbacked MOUZ49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.23636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked PARIVISION63c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8916660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked MOUZ69c28.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked MOUZ79c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2818281.3%148 W · 34 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7b…62c8backed MOUZ76c19.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7712074.2%89 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…c3cfbacked MOUZ71c18.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3057…3bd6backed PARIVISION65c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked PARIVISION64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c7…4338backed PARIVISION64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a4…dd30backed MOUZ66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.193369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc107…d433backed MOUZ70c14.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.