Premier League · resolved market
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61221a84b8fd44c22647a49bfacb9f861269d412948f67c23650c8b84156181c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 1,824$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.69 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 1,183$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 613.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…459cbacked Yes | 69c | 578.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 40c | 319.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 36c | 142.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 38c | 137.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 38c | 134$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 26c | 132.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 55c | 99.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 98.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 52c | 76.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 61.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 31c | 51.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 37c | 47.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 35c | 46.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 45.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 749 | 58.5%438 W · 311 L | +49.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 39.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 56c | 33.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 54c | 30.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 233 | 56.7%132 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 45c | 29.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 57c | 28.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed No | 59c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 22.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 321 | 49.2%158 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 51c | 22.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 20.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 583 | 48.5%283 W · 300 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 75c | 20.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 76c | 17.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Crawley Town FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- Spread: York City FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Crawley Town FC O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.