Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x055f21b4e10a9437ab7e0bd39011724c6508380b013ffe7e7d1102535c803373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 12,537$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 39c | 7,746$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 39c | 7,695$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 4,647$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 11c | 4,642$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.43 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 3,045$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 14c | 2,658$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 2,451$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 17c | 2,066$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 36c | 1,427$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.87 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 16c | 1,233$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 1,179$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 3c | 1,049$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 67c | 988.7$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 953.5$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 14c | 797.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 12c | 560.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 554.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 3c | 352.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 310.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 12c | 271.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 16c | 265$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 62c | 243.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 62c | 188.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 12c | 186.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 15c | 169.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 18c | 119.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 16c | 113.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 105.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 14c | 97.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 15c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 36c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 21c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Yes | 64c | 73.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 73.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 20c | 69.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 66c | 66.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Yes | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 37c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…f7d2backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 77c | 46.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 63c | 45.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 38c | 38.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 40c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…9cb1backed Yes | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 62c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…b0d3backed Yes | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Thun vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.