Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cc69ac836b46be9d6a9a92e8abbd13a3c71e562b63d5eb3e29ff21af427ce7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 16c | 6,499$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 4,865$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.64 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 4,771$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,758$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 9c | 1,195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,131$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 17c | 827.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 730$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…82fabacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 283.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 185$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 17c | 149.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 17c | 103.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Thun vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.