La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf86b21e70617751d2349309f215d57d019dcf3a09465f0ed9933748f28006f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 11,970$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.81 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 37c | 1,382$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.94 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 1,354$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 1,220$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 881.14$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 831.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 63c | 682.91$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 492.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 413$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 391.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 42c | 369.39$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Yes | 59c | 317.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed No | 6c | 305.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 59c | 288.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 245.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 230.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 202.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 193.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 178.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 17c | 166$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 73c | 137.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 59c | 136.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 10c | 122.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 26c | 122.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 59c | 116.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 41c | 107.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Yes | 59c | 104.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Yes | 59c | 93.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 59c | 86.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 84.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 81.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 32c | 77.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Yes | 79c | 67.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…543ebacked Yes | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 63.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 61c | 63.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked No | 23c | 51.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…b793backed Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 62c | 47.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 37c | 43.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 63c | 40.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 60c | 40.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 37.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 78c | 31.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…60e6backed Yes | 62c | 28.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 61c | 27.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 42c | 25.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 55c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Yes | 59c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 62c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.