La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff42fb51e24bfa111e12e3034d455cd561e2cbf5d1d8ba0e7746493ce22a7263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 948.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 17c | 756.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 614.81$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 409.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 26c | 285.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 190.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 189.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 16c | 178.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 78c | 140.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 101.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 74c | 57.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 50.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 74c | 46.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 75c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 73c | 32.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 73c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 75c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 76c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f0f4backed No | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 75c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.