Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Surrey vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310ca6ca3db21145cdeed389ac3113c6a563bdb7ff5074bd8b384dbd562b7393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Warwickshire | 11c | 11,116$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.18 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Warwickshire | 14c | 723.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 70c | 336.29$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Warwickshire | 48c | 315.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Surrey | 74c | 261.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Surrey | 74c | 257$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Surrey | 74c | 255.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Surrey | 72c | 125.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Surrey | 70c | 123.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 50c | 120.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Warwickshire | 10c | 114.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 45c | 112.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Warwickshire | 26c | 108.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Surrey | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Surrey | 64c | 93.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Warwickshire | 38c | 88.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Warwickshire | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Surrey | 59c | 66.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Warwickshire | 46c | 66.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 70c | 62.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Warwickshire | 33c | 55.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Warwickshire | 38c | 42.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Warwickshire | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Warwickshire | 54c | 35.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Warwickshire | 32c | 34.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Warwickshire | 38c | 33.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Warwickshire | 36c | 32.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 63c | 26.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Warwickshire | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Surrey | 66c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.