CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3a2bd760babde1bdcdcf3ade9a103833f676113d19694b9c476fc15897151f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MAGICOS | 26c | 2,899$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.92 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 79c | 1,855$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.57 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 77c | 1,494$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed MAGICOS | 19c | 1,255$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MAGICOS | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 22c | 851.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 76c | 720$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MAGICOS | 22c | 652$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed ALKA | 78c | 641$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MAGICOS | 22c | 576$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed MAGICOS | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGICOS | 13c | 457$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed MAGICOS | 23c | 437.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MAGICOS | 11c | 436.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA | 73c | 425.33$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed MAGICOS | 23c | 415$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MAGICOS | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MAGICOS | 20c | 389.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MAGICOS | 11c | 380.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed MAGICOS | 21c | 377.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked MAGICOS | 17c | 338.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MAGICOS | 24c | 311.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MAGICOS | 12c | 273.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MAGICOS | 19c | 271.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked MAGICOS | 27c | 271.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MAGICOS | 28c | 258.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed ALKA | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MAGICOS | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MAGICOS | 20c | 248.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MAGICOS | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ALKA | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MAGICOS | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MAGICOS | 12c | 197$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed MAGICOS | 23c | 196.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked MAGICOS | 13c | 182$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ALKA | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed MAGICOS | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked ALKA | 79c | 142.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked MAGICOS | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ALKA | 79c | 141.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked MAGICOS | 27c | 130.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked MAGICOS | 8c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked ALKA | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MAGICOS | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MAGICOS | 16c | 96.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MAGICOS | 13c | 86.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 77c | 81.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked MAGICOS | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked MAGICOS | 16c | 71.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALKA | 77c | 69.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed MAGICOS | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed MAGICOS | 21c | 64.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed MAGICOS | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…0d57backed MAGICOS | 20c | 62.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed ALKA | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed ALKA | 79c | 58.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked ALKA | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked ALKA | 73c | 53.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked MAGICOS | 24c | 51.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed MAGICOS | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ALKA | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked MAGICOS | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MAGICOS | 23c | 48.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ALKA | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALKA | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed ALKA | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed ALKA | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…0cbbbacked ALKA | 79c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed ALKA | 79c | 16.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ALKA | 73c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked ALKA | 78c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked ALKA | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.