CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87790a73b5c41dc657a442de01c229287f5ec8ea513f6e8db595bec6960b59f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MAGICOS | 41c | 1,555$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.1 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 67c | 1,323$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.92 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked MAGICOS | 28c | 875.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 689.19$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed ALKA | 70c | 515$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MAGICOS | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked MAGICOS | 45c | 479.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALKA | 69c | 365.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 298.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA | 69c | 283.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 59c | 274.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed MAGICOS | 26c | 264.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 59c | 229.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ALKA | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ALKA | 62c | 182.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MAGICOS | 39c | 162.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ALKA | 68c | 158.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked MAGICOS | 39c | 148.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 63c | 120.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MAGICOS | 40c | 113.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 67c | 106.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed MAGICOS | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked MAGICOS | 39c | 72.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked MAGICOS | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed MAGICOS | 41c | 68.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed MAGICOS | 20c | 57.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed ALKA | 73c | 43.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked ALKA | 63c | 39.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…ba0bbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 34.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 74c | 31.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed ALKA | 69c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked ALKA | 79c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ALKA | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…4cdfbacked ALKA | 63c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 77c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.