CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4ddef36c255c43e6f6f9a3276892a85c2813f57385e49ad93bb44941630616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa57…a128backed ALKA | 75c | 2,725$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.51 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 70c | 734.31$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 55c | 636.03$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MAGICOS | 21c | 598.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MAGICOS | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 65c | 497.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed MAGICOS | 45c | 364$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MAGICOS | 23c | 363.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MAGICOS | 25c | 322.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MAGICOS | 35c | 308.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed MAGICOS | 22c | 276.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed MAGICOS | 39c | 253.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MAGICOS | 32c | 229.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MAGICOS | 40c | 213$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MAGICOS | 37c | 168.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MAGICOS | 37c | 159.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked ALKA | 78c | 128.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MAGICOS | 40c | 112.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ALKA | 64c | 100.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked MAGICOS | 37c | 94.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked MAGICOS | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed MAGICOS | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed MAGICOS | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 76c | 62.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS | 28c | 60.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed MAGICOS | 26c | 59.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked MAGICOS | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MAGICOS | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked MAGICOS | 37c | 56.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 431 | 55.9%241 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked MAGICOS | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 419 | 50.1%210 W · 209 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked ALKA | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked MAGICOS | 33c | 49.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed MAGICOS | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked MAGICOS | 36c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MAGICOS | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MAGICOS | 25c | 42.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed MAGICOS | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed MAGICOS | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MAGICOS | 33c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed ALKA | 74c | 24.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ALKA | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ALKA | 61c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked ALKA | 75c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 71c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 72c | 14.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.