Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffe3cc99175d2d45ba67b603d8d27aff0af4bc0eb5ad7575e73803822752573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Team Yandex, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 5,895$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 576.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 467.57$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Team Yandex | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Team Yandex | 39c | 328.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…18bfbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 307.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 265.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Team Yandex | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 243.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…ae5dbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 192.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Team Yandex | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed Team Yandex | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…ead1backed Team Yandex | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Yandex | 46c | 180.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3f2cbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 118.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 89.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Yandex | 62c | 74.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Yandex | 35c | 69.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Yandex | 39c | 63.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 55.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked LGD Gaming | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 28.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…5a67backed Team Yandex | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Team Yandex | 63c | 21.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.