Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec43058e0dcddb1fe550c5b0ff3f597294205f511733b223c2e8363223cb6d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Liam Broady, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Liam Broady | 24c | 123,175$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 31,397$22,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,764.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Liam Broady | 17c | 6,358$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.78 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Liam Broady | 11c | 3,611$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…2193backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Liam Broady | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Liam Broady | 20c | 1,748$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.56 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…cd20backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.24 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Alex Michelsen | 47c | 960$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.7 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Alex Michelsen | 50c | 940$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Alex Michelsen | 53c | 800$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Liam Broady | 9c | 722.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Liam Broady | 7c | 699.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 21cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Liam Broady | 10c | 519.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Alex Michelsen | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…41d4backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.57per pick | 26cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…10dabacked Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…feaabacked Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 21cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…3fc0backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 24cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.54per pick | 23cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…e72cbacked Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Alex Michelsen | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.60per pick | 26cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Liam Broady | 12c | 454.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Liam Broady | 12c | 405.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Liam Broady | 18c | 380.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Liam Broady | 18c | 370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Liam Broady | 9c | 351.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Liam Broady | 14c | 283.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 273$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Alex Michelsen | 53c | 273$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 273$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 273$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Liam Broady | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Liam Broady | 19c | 247.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Liam Broady | 15c | 233.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 210.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.55per pick | 31cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Alex Michelsen | 41c | 195$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liam Broady | 22c | 183.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Liam Broady | 10c | 179.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Liam Broady | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Liam Broady | 19c | 165.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 116.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alex Michelsen | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Liam Broady | 17c | 95.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Liam Broady | 18c | 79.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Liam Broady | 17c | 79.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liam Broady | 23c | 74.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Liam Broady | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 64.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Liam Broady | 22c | 50.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Alex Michelsen | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 21.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Alex Michelsen | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alex Michelsen | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Broady vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Broady vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set 2 Winner: Broady vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Broady (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.