CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da68cab697921dd0c32adc0061004bf3dd3b05325d84e4052ac0b51c801c9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, ECHO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 9,025$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.61 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked ECHO | 44c | 1,815$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.71 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECHO | 42c | 1,703$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.62 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ECHO | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed ECHO | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed ECHO | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ECHO | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ECHO | 40c | 992.27$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked ECHO | 41c | 833.34$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.67 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 793.26$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.52 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed ECHO | 49c | 770$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 706.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.33 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ECHO | 45c | 558$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed ECHO | 47c | 378.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 315.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 313.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked ECHO | 35c | 295.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 253.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ECHO | 44c | 242$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ECHO | 46c | 216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ECHO | 47c | 144.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ECHO | 69c | 139.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 121.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked ECHO | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ECHO | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed ECHO | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…b14abacked ECHO | 70c | 34.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked ECHO | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 24.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)ECHO won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.