CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bb17c989ef98a4e3121175a9e641f49ac83b94bc345c30cc36a5fdd19e8d2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECHOof Aurora Gaming, ECHO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,536$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ECHO | 46c | 2,694$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.4 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked ECHO | 45c | 2,419$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 634.38$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed ECHO | 45c | 539.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed ECHO | 46c | 424.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked ECHO | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 250.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 234$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ECHO | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed ECHO | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed ECHO | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ECHO | 46c | 124.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ECHO | 46c | 100.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ECHO | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ECHO | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ECHO | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked ECHO | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ECHO | 45c | 34.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 32.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ECHO | 45c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked ECHO | 46c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked ECHO | 45c | 23.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.