CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84afbff9bdd14701d404c818b64f24c86488c107d018ddb80d6e3d22ae9f5f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, ECHO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,399$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.07 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ECHO | 48c | 5,330$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.5 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,487$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ECHO | 45c | 2,938$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.33 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECHO | 26c | 2,815$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.42 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,491$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.89 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,224$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ECHO | 23c | 2,143$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,479$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.02 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked ECHO | 35c | 1,474$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed ECHO | 24c | 1,273$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked ECHO | 38c | 1,055$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 936.25$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 881.81$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECHO | 27c | 736.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…5c21backed ECHO | 38c | 684.47$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ECHO | 2c | 653.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 504$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 490.61$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ECHO | 47c | 432.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ECHO | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ECHO | 23c | 353.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ECHO | 26c | 284.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ECHO | 13c | 216.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed ECHO | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 142.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked ECHO | 19c | 134.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 131.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed ECHO | 10c | 130.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 125.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ECHO | 24c | 121.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 115.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked ECHO | 47c | 107.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ECHO | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 100.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed ECHO | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 92.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed ECHO | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ECHO | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 72.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ECHO | 26c | 67.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 51.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed ECHO | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)ECHO won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.