TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c29,995$14,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,437.882259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c9,729$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c5,139$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under42c4,502$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.461643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over51c2,847$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c1,273$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.371,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c1,206$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c804.83$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c672.18$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.0650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c647.63$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.591,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under45c542.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9321630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c513.31$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under30c439.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over70c430$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under51c392.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.312552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over52c251.92$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13125532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c225.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under57c222.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8132356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over51c220.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.358955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf726…f582backed Over51c217.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656a…5352backed Under49c217$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2550…74c6backed Under49c217$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90dd…120fbacked Over51c214.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce3…49bcbacked Over51c213.16$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231b…d772backed Under49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4991…8c4ebacked Under49c212$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9989…1093backed Under49c212$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…b1dabacked Over51c209.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a363backed Under49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07be…3765backed Under49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13bb…e089backed Over51c208.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3174…d9f2backed Under49c208$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1794…8848backed Over51c207.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c207.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4a…b265backed Under49c207$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d8…653ebacked Over51c206.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c206.4$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.062,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…e39bbacked Over51c205.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e07…6bf9backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e5…f82abacked Over51c204.75$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc30…f790backed Over51c204.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68be…b5ecbacked Over51c202.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2641…065fbacked Under49c202$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5b18backed Over51c200.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f8…5557backed Over51c200.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17c…0f9cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e5…4095backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba5…24f0backed Over51c198.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac55…74c8backed Over51c198.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2572…ba0bbacked Over51c197.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7470…5c2bbacked Under49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+149.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ea…d493backed Over51c195.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79a…2494backed Under49c195.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4428…5d56backed Over51c195.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c37…64cfbacked Under49c195$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8404…44e6backed Under49c195$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2d…e9bdbacked Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cc…274cbacked Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a58…7941backed Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf67…644cbacked Over51c193.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c24…919ebacked Under49c192.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b19…853cbacked Over51c192.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…451dbacked Over51c192.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0526…48fabacked Under49c192$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d2…4a45backed Under49c191$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de2…e551backed Over51c190.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11af…0a65backed Over51c190.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…50eebacked Under49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd174…0787backed Under50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e99…05c6backed Under49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce8e…7533backed Under49c189$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec2…0a81backed Over51c188.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd813…f633backed Under49c188$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9a…d720backed Over51c187.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x359d…c6b9backed Under49c187$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…794abacked Under49c186.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd664…b9ebbacked Over51c186.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8448…e8f2backed Over51c185.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cf…7139backed Over51c185.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548f…561cbacked Over51c185.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3770…d2d2backed Under49c185$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e2…81f3backed Under49c185$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under44c184.14$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.125451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c15…6e3ebacked Under49c184$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…21d8backed Over51c183.34$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…a412backed Over51c183.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64dd…cf25backed Under50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…a030backed Under49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94df…714cbacked Under49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefcb…0889backed Over51c181.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95c…7bf2backed Under49c181$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…6b2fbacked Over51c178.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c0…6b0fbacked Under49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f08…a1ecbacked Under49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdadb…ab83backed Over51c177.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.