Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c8ded50e2abe435f5405cd6ce43904c7ddf0a8ebff84252c7f07fcb6eb26e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed No | 46c | 295.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 251.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…d60dbacked No | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…839abacked Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…becbbacked No | 50c | 204.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…51a4backed Yes | 50c | 200.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…f041backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…4a06backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…b211backed No | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…18e5backed Yes | 50c | 197.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…bfb5backed No | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…5f14backed Yes | 50c | 193.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…2ccbbacked Yes | 50c | 192.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…3101backed No | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…e561backed Yes | 50c | 191$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…bb1cbacked No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…5c08backed No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…806dbacked Yes | 50c | 188.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…5d26backed Yes | 50c | 187.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6000…64e7backed Yes | 50c | 187.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…f01fbacked Yes | 50c | 187.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…069bbacked Yes | 50c | 186.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…2fccbacked No | 50c | 186.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…0375backed Yes | 50c | 185.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…f307backed No | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…5a06backed Yes | 50c | 182.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…6159backed No | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…b94ebacked Yes | 50c | 177.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…fa89backed Yes | 50c | 177.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2935backed No | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…36d6backed Yes | 50c | 176.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…2d8dbacked Yes | 50c | 176.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…6e7dbacked Yes | 50c | 176.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…730fbacked No | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…d402backed No | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…615cbacked No | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…09cabacked No | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52af…b8edbacked Yes | 50c | 173.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…f838backed Yes | 50c | 172.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…610bbacked No | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…cea3backed Yes | 50c | 170.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…8652backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…439fbacked No | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…1a91backed No | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed No | 30c | 127.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 51c | 71.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 63.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 63.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 49c | 52.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 50.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 50c | 42.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 62c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 33.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…1229backed Yes | 50c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…8524backed Yes | 50c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…b3a9backed No | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…93febacked No | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…f650backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…1ac4backed Yes | 50c | 20.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…c212backed Yes | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…ea50backed Yes | 50c | 20.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 60c | 17.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.