Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed8401cd9246d29dca252d9b643a18ac1120f964d228cab2922adc1ab4fb5b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 49c | 4,039$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,097$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Under | 58c | 672.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 405.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 301.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 40c | 243$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 237.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 104.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 19c | 103.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 82.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 53c | 64.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 60.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 73c | 52.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Under | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 57c | 46.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 52c | 32.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6010backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 25.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…0a30backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…9ce3backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…a4e3backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…6510backed Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…bb69backed Over | 53c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…0e32backed Over | 53c | 24.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…d902backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…59fbbacked Over | 53c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…3c13backed Over | 53c | 23.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…9493backed Over | 53c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…a23bbacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…5370backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…dd18backed Over | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…ace3backed Over | 53c | 22.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…d6fdbacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f97…78d3backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1759backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…b4b8backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…0cbcbacked Over | 53c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…7b2cbacked Over | 53c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…f7e3backed Over | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…add1backed Over | 53c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…2188backed Over | 53c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…3821backed Over | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723b…48febacked Over | 53c | 21.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…dab5backed Over | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…333dbacked Over | 53c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…060fbacked Over | 53c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…3cf4backed Over | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…cb60backed Over | 53c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…d7eabacked Over | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…e524backed Over | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…c588backed Over | 53c | 19.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ae…c8babacked Over | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.