La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc05206b0100998852276508bc9c1db0e5f178a6c7d90ae739d936e662d9a2fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 75c | 6,567$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 5,997$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 5,832$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 4,928$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.27 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 47c | 3,243$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.51 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 2,333$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.37 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,734$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.44 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 46c | 498.74$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 410.34$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 51c | 331.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 258.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 195.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 191.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 183.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 176.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 58c | 173.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 169.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 53c | 165.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 152.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 29c | 138.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 138$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 106.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 60c | 95.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 60c | 95.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 95.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 34c | 88.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 72.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 53c | 65.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 53c | 62.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 49c | 62.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 77c | 58.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 30c | 50.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…1b13backed Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 53c | 46.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 33c | 39.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 38.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 49c | 33.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…a0d7backed Under | 47c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 48c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b1…8be1backed Over | 55c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Over | 53c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.