La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f254361e4a7b35299ac4107cb40feb4880c41225c332d020deb801663ecadd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 461.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 338.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 198.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 97.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 85.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 84.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 68.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 40c | 62.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 49.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 48.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 39.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 32c | 31.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 69c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…6a22backed Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.