La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3999a9fc7b3b257e2e3d290e1b4dbddd43bfa4628a6779c3d0434af757932477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,987$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 918.26$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.86 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 379.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 344.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 75c | 332.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 28c | 251.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 62c | 235.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 214.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 214.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 199.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…efdcbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 87.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 37c | 64.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 63c | 35.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 31.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 75c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 78c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Over | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.