TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under51c13,999$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,859.497762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c6,500$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c5,493$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under53c3,886$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8406331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c3,244$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.83928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over51c1,928$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.613818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over54c1,600$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…6c90backed Over51c1,584$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c1,491$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.6774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over20c1,185$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.481533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c1,058$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4512554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under64c980.66$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over51c859.66$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.727847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over51c836.94$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c827.96$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over44c826.2$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.853066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c782.47$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.113,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c708.71$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c699.84$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9221957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c686.76$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.382250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c684.93$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Under52c621.94$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over47c618$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over49c575.15$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8220156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.185358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over50c556.78$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.395156.9%29 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c542.68$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.951,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c492.76$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3814620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c483.86$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Under51c475.59$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…feedbacked Over73c404.3$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.141457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.514259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under55c356.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7810958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c354.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.28734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under55c299.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9610550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over49c297.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Over46c292.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.512254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under54c226.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c217.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.824337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over50c203.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under65c202.11$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7411759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10b…56ddbacked Over55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under55c198.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3121953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under55c198.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9712140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under54c187.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.066538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over49c184.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6123751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over51c182.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.917553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6117158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe12b…a340backed Over50c174.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.360%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.367954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c166.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over49c164.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over49c158.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.557347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over47c158.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.144746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over50c139.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.832842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c138.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.181,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under55c136.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under55c132.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.837266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6220067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c126.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.752,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c121.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Over50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over49c116.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over50c110.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.294751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.352339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c106.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.832,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over50c103.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.996453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4131147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over32c101.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.943336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.59842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.515945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe035…6ba4backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86c…564dbacked Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5321048.1%101 W · 109 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c85.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over49c80.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4740355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.318769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8811331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over48c74.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.