Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda04621d3decdc4d106f0e98dacd0c3668ebbb01cac67b8a0f2ece7dbec463ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Under | 52c | 3,714$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,921$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 26c | 996.03$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 967.38$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 493.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 29c | 483.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Under | 75c | 400$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 388.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 76c | 349.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 337.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 204.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 71c | 182.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 26c | 147.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 71c | 129$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 74c | 81.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 70c | 68.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 67.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Under | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 60.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 76c | 58.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…b6fbbacked Over | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 27c | 44.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 73c | 42.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 78c | 34.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 77c | 31.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…5e36backed Under | 73c | 24.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d65…c693backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 76c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5this page
- Czechia vs. Denmark: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.