Europa Conference League · resolved market

RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0695edb7411febff9b9e0f4b6691fe2347632d830cd4dce585d500391626c1

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,833 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x87a1…b6babacked Under	52c	5,778$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over	25c	2,650$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,984.98	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	49c	2,254$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.73	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	1,661$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.65	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	73c	1,148$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over	48c	874.4$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.69	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	48c	834.46$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.85	382	47.1%180 W · 202 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	33c	767.51$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.55	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	48c	700$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed Under	17c	699.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+75%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Under	3c	660.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under	12c	600$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over	80c	562.5$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over	43c	526.96$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.36	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-59%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	51c	473.25$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.65	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under	17c	465$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under	17c	450$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	80c	402$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.4	29	86.2%25 W · 4 L	+6.3wins	+0.22per pick	64cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Under	17c	349.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over	50c	333$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed Under	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.42per pick	18cpaid	+245.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	53c	252.83$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	249.31$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.14	449	52.6%236 W · 213 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	57c	232.45$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.13	702	39.3%276 W · 426 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under	10c	224.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over	51c	196.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.06	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	68cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over	80c	187.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d25…240bbacked Over	51c	165.23$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa365…9153backed Under	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over	51c	159.3$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.63	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad9…e55fbacked Under	50c	156$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd01…ac96backed Under	49c	154.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	53c	150.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9482…d8cbbacked Over	51c	149.77$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Under	53c	145$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0b…265fbacked Under	50c	142$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	49c	141.52$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.39	1,022	47.5%485 W · 537 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	64c	135.05$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.14	769	41.9%322 W · 447 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over	29c	130$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.6	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over	16c	128.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.65	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	51c	125$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	46c	118.6$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.54	218	35.8%78 W · 140 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2b…3d4bbacked Over	50c	112.88$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over	36c	111.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	80	62.5%50 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	51c	82.89$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.34	555	45.8%254 W · 301 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2206…ae92backed Over	50c	59.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	72c	53.68$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	384	53.1%204 W · 180 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	48c	49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.48	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over	46c	45.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.62	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-9.2wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-30%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7838…3e84backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under	62c	41.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	46c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	52c	39.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over	51c	39.29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under	50c	37.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Under	67c	29.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	48c	28.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.85	741	55.9%414 W · 327 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	52c	28.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Under	54c	28.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	52c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	49c	26.98$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	52c	21.09$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	130	50%65 W · 65 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	49c	20.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.59	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	68c	19.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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