Europa Conference League · resolved market
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17d1569382a5aea9f9df805f265f2806ea3761cdad7f7aba244b2ba5609c8ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 48c | 5,034$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.64 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,064$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 1,842$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.89 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,839$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 500.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 8c | 284.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 56c | 279.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 56c | 270.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 250.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 218.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 201.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 191.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 163.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 55c | 163.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 135.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 131.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 101.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 48c | 90.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 55c | 81.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 76.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…6407backed Yes | 57c | 75.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 57c | 56.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed No | 46c | 52.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Yes | 55c | 37.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 43c | 30.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.