Europa Conference League · resolved market
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c29faa8fed5a677f6947da09d543f97c6cdb4d80ab73b7252c2dd463cb6d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,382 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,562$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,248$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.46 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,167$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 48c | 633.84$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Under | 46c | 547$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 63c | 188.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 75c | 133.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 30c | 132.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Over | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 72c | 82.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 73.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 40c | 62.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 52.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 41c | 38.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 74c | 32.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.