Other European Leagues · resolved market
Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd91b9eebaaded7f287b9312f309b7a6e52afb8489670f8453ba49cec2a38342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,542$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 71c | 808.84$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 21c | 474.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…5489backed Under | 80c | 442.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…40e1backed Over | 20c | 442.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…b9c8backed Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 35c | 194.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 63c | 172.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 31c | 149.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 37c | 149.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 18c | 149$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 67c | 116.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 60c | 109.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…24c9backed Over | 19c | 82.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 17c | 69.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 40c | 49.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 62c | 45.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 42.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…2cd0backed Over | 74c | 40.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 60c | 36.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 31.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over | 73c | 20.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 64c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8758backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Livingston FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)Livingston FC won
- Spread: Livingston FC (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Livingston FC (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.