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South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c1,162$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.415,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over29c761.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22280%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under21c716.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.949925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c656.51$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.062,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over77c520.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007763.6%49 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under75c467.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.571877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under23c330.73$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.281,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab9…710dbacked Over75c280.9$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8d…fa14backed Under25c280.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over7c209$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over48c198$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.012934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c197.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.571,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under32c186.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under67c177.07$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c170.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.452,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c136.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.942,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c124.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.791,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c114.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over73c108.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c104.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.153,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over80c92.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0810456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over80c92.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c92.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.38,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8118154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.811163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8126160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8112361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8117857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over80c89.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over32c78.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Over74c72.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over73c45.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3672450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under27c42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Over78c36.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under42c27.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Over79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over76c24.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x282e…c0edbacked Over78c20.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Over79c18.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c15.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.693,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.