South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a31b0cab36240bc8c3b0a728573def0852ebd87833bcac822e0285770adbfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 3c | 10,893$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 1,214$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 1,112$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.83 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 677.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 355.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 77c | 340.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 301.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 287.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 267.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 244$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 80c | 212.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 80c | 212.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 164.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 71c | 140.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 70c | 134.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 69.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 29c | 65.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 69c | 61.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Over | 25c | 60.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 77c | 34.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 78c | 23.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 76c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 78c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.