South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494d1b998286ee81f001ac5ca2bc6861c280717ab78905fa149da334346a3a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7067…e41ebacked Over | 51c | 2,278$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,612$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 1,341$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.51 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 16c | 837.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 801$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 59c | 679.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 38c | 601.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 438.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.46 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 257.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 192.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 189.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 167.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 160.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 38c | 136$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…2bc7backed Over | 14c | 122.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 52c | 117.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 95.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Over | 52c | 77.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 70.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 69.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 50c | 65.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 41c | 49.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 23c | 47.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 47c | 44.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 38c | 42.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 37.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 37.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Over | 57c | 32.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 32.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 54c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 53c | 26.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 77c | 25.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…0ac2backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…74e1backed Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 58c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…83c1backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…3cfdbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d8…ce90backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…5c54backed Over | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…a67abacked Over | 53c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…2b6dbacked Over | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…0128backed Over | 53c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…130abacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb958…7925backed Over | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b14dbacked Over | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…b05cbacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c81abacked Under | 47c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 65c | 20.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…2560backed Over | 53c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 78c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 52c | 19.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…42d5backed Over | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 66c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 76c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 75c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 77c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.