TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c8,271$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.641,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7909…e8febacked Over26c5,121$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…be4ebacked Over64c2,853$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c2,218$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over63c1,397$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c1,200$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over63c853.63$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.849458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c797.72$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c776.03$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.135461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under38c619.19$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.92832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c596.15$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.771,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc43…0305backed Under74c491.18$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c477.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5430448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over17c475.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.333138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c462.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over45c432.6$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.231050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c388.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.398333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c354.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.539920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.138254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over37c320$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under7c311.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+817.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c302.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.88247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under56c299.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over63c293.28$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over61c285.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3910942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Over44c279.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c267.94$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.828654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c249.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.867648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under60c224.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over27c219.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c207.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under51c197.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under47c181.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.78058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c178.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.025356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over62c174.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c174.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.126041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over62c158.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f9…2667backed Over62c156.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c152.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over39c149.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over62c146.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under38c143.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.642060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Under53c137.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c135.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4633148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over44c134.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.722070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over40c132.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.532020%4 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under69c127.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.451650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over63c126.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c124$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.128143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over46c119.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.323060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under38c116.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over46c116.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over17c111.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+117.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over27c106.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.563852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c104.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over52c102.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.312045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.486842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over26c99.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.982548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over45c99.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.322050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Under39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over62c98.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over34c96.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over58c87.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over36c87.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.654060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over54c81.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5311725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under76c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under38c78.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.913847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under38c77.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over53c73.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over34c73.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.473046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over60c69.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over62c68.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.992263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4556…2b3cbacked Over23c62.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9710964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over45c61.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under40c61.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under37c61.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.636352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c57.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd824…0dbabacked Over52c56.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over45c55.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over42c54.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.353360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over55c53.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under66c50.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.387149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.