Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe910904300faa57cffc6200984fde6210bf06632a08cdb6586dedf4d8a8a181c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof AS Monaco FC, Olympique de Marseille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked AS Monaco FC | 25c | 542.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Olympique de Marseille | 75c | 536.22$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 459.58$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique de Marseille | 75c | 255.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 74c | 197.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked AS Monaco FC | 20c | 172.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 128.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 117.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Monaco FC | 23c | 92.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed AS Monaco FC | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AS Monaco FC | 23c | 77.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed AS Monaco FC | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…25fbbacked Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed AS Monaco FC | 73c | 49.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Olympique de Marseille | 74c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…b4f6backed Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…1375backed Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Olympique de Marseille | 74c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.